Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.369187 3.893932 4.475800 5.169284 5.973929 6.878933 7.975172
2024-10-13 2.720683 3.416527 4.255767 5.344278 6.721663 8.410489 10.644525
2024-10-20 2.214054 2.987960 3.992111 5.394490 7.309420 9.843022 13.466883
2024-10-27 1.743791 2.508195 3.566397 5.144913 7.452210 10.720811 15.737388
2024-11-03 1.531375 2.335254 3.516340 5.388590 8.303292 12.702971 19.914757
2024-11-10 1.380302 2.220618 3.524502 5.710432 9.317527 15.092323 25.156097
2024-11-17 1.222025 2.064329 3.438106 5.862492 10.083102 17.216823 30.374233
2024-11-24 1.068757 1.888078 3.286970 5.875239 10.609671 19.024403 35.385097
2024-12-01 0.909369 1.673618 3.034340 5.663743 10.697545 20.069264 39.202921
2024-12-08 0.774559 1.480635 2.787651 5.417473 10.670620 20.884405 42.715289
2024-12-15 0.702934 1.393955 2.722218 5.501816 11.288610 23.026466 49.265818
2024-12-22 0.617936 1.267669 2.560866 5.367444 11.439376 24.250859 54.115686
2024-12-29 0.587398 1.250079 2.619820 5.712495 12.689370 28.057358 65.562680
2025-01-05 0.543586 1.197929 2.599952 5.887345 13.606408 31.325084 76.516610
2025-01-12 0.494230 1.125875 2.526340 5.930457 14.235213 34.066015 86.831855
2025-01-19 0.428161 1.005636 2.327047 5.647779 14.041434 34.833098 92.380472
2025-01-26 0.406239 0.984791 2.352638 5.910959 15.242866 39.258843 108.525788
2025-02-02 0.390958 0.977450 2.409067 6.261546 16.737113 44.728530 128.808594
2025-02-09 0.366521 0.943375 2.394509 6.426464 17.772041 49.188012 147.271628
2025-02-16 0.337064 0.891719 2.327328 6.439009 18.391480 52.629525 163.537042
2025-02-23 0.299975 0.814082 2.180409 6.205688 18.267171 53.928791 173.501409
2025-03-02 0.265867 0.739253 2.029504 5.934577 17.980361 54.693029 181.937321
2025-03-09 0.249483 0.711400 2.003831 6.026861 18.817578 59.055716 203.440365